The Weather Channel app can show how likely you are to get specific snowfall amounts

We’re in the tail end of winter here, but it’s snowing as I write this. Not a lot, but just enough to be a potential frustration to the move I have planned for later this week. Basically, winter weather sucks, and one of the worst things about it is how unpredictable it can be. The Weather Company, owners and developers of the Weather Channel app (but not the TV station) know this, and have just released a feature to try and make planning for storms a little easier.

It’s called probabilistic snowfall, and it aims to give you greater insight into just how severe or impactful a storm might be. You’ll still see the standard “50 percent chance of snowfall” in your forecasts, but in the 72 hours leading up to snow, you’ll also see the percent change for specific snowfall amounts. For example, you’ll see that there’s an 80 percent chance of snow overall, but you’ll also see bars detailing how likely more specific snowfall amounts are. In this screenshot from the app, you can see that five to eight inches is the most likely outcome, followed by eight to 12 inches — enough snow that you might want to change your plans to deal with it.

According to Rachel Chukura, head of product at The Weather Company, that was precisely the vision behind the feature. “The idea is that users can see the different probabilities and know there could be variations, she said. “That’s important because of all the decisions we make in terms of what weather we think is coming. What time do you need to leave for your commute, will there be a school delay, and so on.” And while the company is starting with snowfall forecasts, they also hope to bring it to more forecasting tools over time.

I’ve been using the feature for about a week, just in time to see it pop up for the small storm we had in Philadelphia last night. I obviously can’t say how accurate it is, as I’m not out there measuring snowfall with a ruler. But the few inches we got overnight were in line with the probabilistic forecast, and it was helpful leading up to the storm to know I likely didn’t have to worry about the weather truly being an inconvenience.

The feature is part of the Weather Channel app’s premium subscription, which costs $30 per year. Besides probabilistic snowfall, that also removes ads, shows longer-term forecasts on the radar, adds a 30-mile lightning strike map and provides more detailed 15-minute weather breakdowns. While most people out there will stick with the default weather app on their phones, or just use the free version of the Weather Channel or other similar apps, there’s definitely something to be said for greater insight into how likely you are to get crushed by a snowstorm.